Retirement Spending Calculator: Based on the 4% Rule
The 4% rule was created by William Bengen in 1994. The basic principle of the 4% rule is to withdraw 4% in the first year of retirement and adjust the subsequent years based on previous year’s inflation rate. Bengen determined several key points often overlooked.
- Steady Withdrawal: Even with several good years of market returns early in retirement, do not increase your withdrawal rate as positive return years need to balance years of negative returns.
- Beware of Inflation: Inflationary periods have the most negative consequences to retirement portfolios; even in comparison to events resulting in more negative returns but a deflationary environment.
- 30 Year Window: All of Bengen’s assumptions were based on a minimum of 30 years needed for retirement. Individuals in the FIRE movement may be surprised to see that the 4% rule was not intended for those retiring in their 30’s with 50+ years in retirement.
- Early Years: Early in retirement, individuals retiring before 60 should not exceed a 4% withdrawal.
Apply different strategies using the variables below. Click on “Share this Scenario” to save your results. Learn more about the rule in the following articles: [4% Rule Explained] and [Updated 4% Rule Chart and FIRE Movement].
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Fill in the numbers below, then press Calculate (or hit Enter in any field).
Future Value
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Total Contributions
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Investment Growth
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Real (Inflation Adj.)
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Compound Growth Projection
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| Year | Contributions | Interest Earned | Ending Balance |
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Initial Annual Spending
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Total Withdrawals
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Ending Portfolio Value
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Portfolio Status
Survives
Retirement Portfolio & Spending Trajectory
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| Year | Beginning Balance | Withdrawal | Growth | Ending Balance |
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References: Bengen, W. P. (1994). “Determining withdrawal rates using historical data.” Journal of Financial Planning, 7(4), 171–180.
